guidance.fyi
Company, quarter, or anything said on a call

Q1 FY27 earnings callAshiana Housing Limited

Ashiana Housing's Q1 was soft on bookings, but management expects the year to be back-ended with upcoming launches and maintains its focus on expanding the Senior Living segment for long-term structural growth.

Cautious tone4 min readPublished 9 days after the call

Numbers
MetricThis quarterChangeFive-quarter trend
Booking ValueINR358 croresmoderated
Area Sold3.6 lakh square feetmoderated
Units Sold234fell from 407
CollectionsINR409 crores6% year-on-year growth
Average RealizationINR9,923 per square foot37% year-on-year increase
Revenue from OperationsINR107 croreslower
Operating Cash GenerationINR121 croreshealthy
Financials
From filed quarterly results. YoY and QoQ compare each metric on the same accounting basis.
QuarterRevenueNet profit (PAT)Basic EPS
Q3 FY25₹133.17 Cr-27.8% YoY+144.2% QoQ₹10.89 Cr-60.8% YoYTurned profitable QoQ₹1.11-60.1% YoYTurned positive QoQ
Q2 FY25₹54.54 Cr-84.2% YoY-55.7% QoQ₹-7.55 CrTurned loss-making YoYLoss widened QoQ₹-0.80Turned negative YoYLoss/share widened QoQ
Q1 FY25₹123.09 Cr+1.5% YoY-57.5% QoQ₹-5.44 CrTurned loss-making YoYTurned loss-making QoQ₹-0.51Turned negative YoYTurned negative QoQ
Q4 FY24₹289.67 Cr+161.9% YoY+57% QoQ₹17.38 Cr+67.4% YoY-37.5% QoQ₹1.72+67% YoY-38.1% QoQ
Q3 FY24₹184.47 Cr+42% YoY-46.7% QoQ₹27.79 Cr+207.1% YoY+1.6% QoQ₹2.78+205.5% YoY+2.2% QoQ
TL;DR
  • Bookings moderated to INR358 crores on softer demand.
  • Collections remained healthy at INR409 crores, up 6% YoY.
  • Average realization increased 37% YoY to INR9,923 per square foot.
  • Acquired 28.55 acres in Pune for a large Senior Living project.
  • Revenue was low at INR107 crores due to timing of project handovers.
  • Management guides for INR2,200 crores of presales in FY27, confident of hitting it.
What changed

Management confirms a softer start to the year but expects bookings to pick up with launches in the second half, notably Ashiana Aaroham Phase 3 in Gurugram; they also clarify that the long-term ROE goal is 15% as a floor, not 20%, with potential to hit 20% this year.

Said on the call

“So I think the company's focus would be on maintaining that ROE trajectory doesn't fall below 15% and sustains above 15% year-on-year every year.”

Varun Gupta, Whole-Time Director
From the Q&A
TopicWhat management said
FY27 Bookings Guidance and Launch PlansManagement expects to exit H1 with presales between INR1,050-1,100 crores and is confident of hitting the FY27 target of INR2,200 crores, driven by the Ashiana Aaroham Phase 3 launch in Gurugram in H2.
Long-Term Presales and ROE TrajectoryManagement sees a potential near-term dip in presales due to shifting capital to Senior Living, but aims for a 15% ROE floor long-term, with expectations to achieve 20% ROE this year and a 25% CAGR in Senior Living presales.
Project Margin and ROE Build-upManagement targets 30% gross margin at the project level, with levers for improvement being pricing power in Senior Living, premiumization, and operating leverage as the segment scales.
New Land Acquisition (Pune)The 28.55-acre Pune land is for a Senior Living project with estimated sales value of INR1,800 crores; expected to sell 2 lakh sq ft/year over 10 years, with launch planned for H2 FY28.
Revenue Recognition VolatilityManagement explained the low Q1 revenue (INR107 crores) was due to timing of Occupancy Certificates; they guide for around INR2,000 crores of revenue for FY27 and advise looking at annual, not quarterly, numbers.
Strategic Mix Shift to Senior LivingManagement clarified the future pipeline is decisively shifting towards Senior Living, with 5 million sq ft of land bank for future development entirely in that segment, aiming for INR1,500 crores of Senior Living presales by FY29-30.
Guidance
  • Presales target of INR2,200 crores for FY27.
  • Expect to exit H1 FY27 with presales between INR1,050-1,100 crores.
  • Revenue for FY27 expected to be around INR2,000 crores.
  • Targeting 15% Return on Equity as a long-term floor, with potential to hit 20% this year.
  • Planning to deploy INR800 crores in capital expenditure (land/projects) in FY27.
  • Senior Living segment targeted to reach INR1,500 crores of presales by FY29-30.
  • Average realization improvement driven by product mix and pricing resilience.
Source
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