guidance.fyi
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Q1 FY27 earnings callTata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited

Strong volume growth and EV momentum in India were offset by commodity headwinds and weaker JLR performance due to supply issues and challenging markets.

Cautious tone4 min readPublished 6 days after the call

Numbers
MetricThis quarterChangeFive-quarter trend
Consolidated RevenueRs. 95,800 Cr
Consolidated EBIT Margin2.4%
Consolidated PBTRs. 1,600 Crdown on a year-on-year basis
Consolidated Net DebtRs.42,000 Cr
India Business RevenueRs.18,000 crores65% year-on-year
India Business EBITDA Margin4%flattish year-on-year
India PV Wholesale Volumes182,000 units46% year-on-year
India PV Market Share14.3%200 bps YoY
Financials
From filed quarterly results. YoY and QoQ compare each metric on the same accounting basis.
QuarterRevenueNet profit (PAT)Basic EPS
Q3 FY25₹1,13,575.00 Cr+2.7% YoY+12% QoQ₹5,578.00 Cr-21.9% YoY+61.7% QoQ₹14.81-19.2% YoY+52.4% QoQ
Q2 FY25₹1,01,450.00 Cr-3.5% YoY-6.1% QoQ₹3,450.00 Cr-10% YoY-39.4% QoQ₹9.72-0.9% YoY-33% QoQ
Q1 FY25₹1,08,048.00 Cr+5.7% YoY-9.9% QoQ₹5,692.00 Cr+72.5% YoY-67.5% QoQ₹14.51+73.8% YoY-68.1% QoQ
Q4 FY24₹1,19,986.31 Cr+13.3% YoY+8.5% QoQ₹17,528.59 Cr+218.9% YoY+145.3% QoQ₹45.42+221.9% YoY+147.9% QoQ
Q3 FY24₹1,10,577.14 Cr+25% YoY+5.2% QoQ₹7,145.43 Cr+134.8% YoY+86.5% QoQ₹18.32+137.6% YoY+86.7% QoQ
TL;DR
  • Consolidated revenue was Rs 95,800 Cr, EBIT margin 2.4%, PBT Rs 1,600 Cr.
  • India PV business saw 46% YoY volume growth and 14.3% market share, but margins were flat at 4% due to 4.5% commodity impact.
  • EV penetration reached 19% in Q1 (23% exit in June/July) with market share above 40%; bookings are 3.5x pre-crisis levels.
  • JLR wholesales were down 10% YoY due to supplier fire, Jaguar run-out, and Middle East conflict, with EBIT at 2.8% and VME up to 7.1%.
  • JLR maintains full-year guidance, expects 12,000 EV units in FY27, and is focusing on cost savings and North America growth.
  • Commodity inflation remains a headwind; India business plans calibrated price hikes and accelerated cost reduction to protect margins.
Said on the call

“We would like to keep that kind of momentum going forward. So, I would definitely be targeting higher double-digit growths in FY 27.”

Shailesh Chandra
From the Q&A
TopicWhat management said
Price Sensitivity & Commodity ImpactManagement took only a 1% price increase to maintain competitiveness; will use cost reductions and further calibrated price hikes to offset 4.5% Q1 commodity impact and expected 3% Q2 hardening.
India PV Production & InventoryDealer inventory is around 30 days; production is targeted at 70,000 units/month, up from 63,000 in July (affected by rain), to build stock for the festive season.
India EV Demand & SupplyEV bookings are 3.5x pre-Mid-East crisis levels; production ramped to 15,000 units in July, with plans to increase further to close the demand-supply gap.
JLR Volume Recovery & OutlookTemporary issues (supplier fire, Middle East conflict) are resolved; Jaguar Type 01 production starts early next year with no material FY27 impact; FY27 guidance stands but requires strong H2 performance.
JLR North America Strategy & MarginsNo localization of existing vehicles; MoU with Stellantis for US-specific production; new EVs (Range Rover Electric, etc.) expected to be at least margin neutral, not dilutive.
JLR China MarketChina market remains difficult and may worsen; focus is on disciplined retailer stock and innovative demand generation amidst economic and tax headwinds.
India Export OutlookExports are in early stages; targeting ~2x growth in FY27 after 4x growth in FY26 on a low base.
JLR EV Volume ForecastTentatively penciling ~12,000 EV units in FY27 from new launches starting September.
Guidance
  • India business targeting higher double-digit volume growth in FY27.
  • India margins expected to be flattish in Q2 vs Q1, with step-up in H2 from price increases, cost reductions, and PLI.
  • JLR full-year guidance remains unchanged but requires strong performance for the remainder of the year.
  • JLR expects ~12,000 EV units in FY27.
  • JLR aiming for 10% revenue growth per annum, focusing on the US market.
  • JLR targeting $1.7 billion in cost savings (ex-works cost, warranty, fixed costs).
  • India EV market share expected to be protected or increased despite intensifying competition.
  • India exports targeting ~2x growth in FY27.
Source
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